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Win rate aur risk per trade se account khatam hone ka probability
Published by The Retail Trader · JUL 22, 2026 · Risk Management
Har trader apna win rate jaanta hai aur apna average profit. Bahut kam log wo teesra number nikaalte hain — is combination par account khatam ho jaane ka chance kitna hai.
Risk of ruin teen cheezon par tikta hai: har trade par kitna percent risk hai, jeetne ka chance kitna hai, aur jeet haar ka size ratio kya hai.
Ganit ka nateeja counterintuitive hai — ek profitable strategy bhi zero tak ja sakti hai agar per trade risk bada ho. Edge hone se bachaav nahi milta, sirf odds behtar hote hain.
Ye chaar baatein isi ganit se nikalti hain:
• Per trade risk aadha karne se ruin ka chance aadha nahi, bahut zyada girta hai.
• Lagataar dus haar har strategy mein kabhi na kabhi aati hain — sawaal sirf kab ka hai.
• Chhote account mein bada risk per trade sabse aam wajah hai account khatam hone ki.
• Ek hi bade trade se recovery ki soch ruin ka chance badhati hai, ghatati nahi.
Survival pehla objective hai, return doosra. Jo strategy dheere paisa banati hai wo bhi kaam kar sakti hai, par jo strategy zero tak ja sakti hai uske paas dobara mauka hi nahi bachta.
Ye article sirf educational hai — koi buy ya sell recommendation nahi, koi guaranteed return ka daawa nahi, aur koi advisory nahi. Rules, rates aur mechanics exchange, SEBI aur RBI time-time par badalte hain, isliye har number apne broker ya official source par khud verify karo.