Independent events ko sequence samajhne ki galti
Published by The Retail Trader · JUL 27, 2026 · Trading Psychology
Paanch din se stock gir raha hai, isliye ab upar jaana chahiye. Ya paanch trade haar gaye, isliye agla jeetna chahiye. Ye dono ek hi galti hain, aur dono mehngi padti hain.
Agar events lagbhag independent hain to pichle results agle par koi haq nahi banate. Market ka aapke pichle paanch trades se koi rishta nahi hai.
Aur jahan events independent nahi hain, wahan rishta aksar ulta hota hai — girta hua stock isliye nahi rukta ki wo bahut gir chuka hai.
Ye soch kai roop mein aati hai:
• Losing streak ke baad size badha dena, kyunki "ab to jeet hi jaayenge".
• Girte stock mein averaging karna sirf isliye ki wo bahut gir chuka hai.
• Ek strategy ko bure daur ke baad extra bharosa dena.
• Winning streak ke baad ye maan lena ki ab galti hone hi wali hai.
Har trade ko ek naya trade maan kar dekhna hi is poori galti ka ilaaj hai. Agar aapka size pichle trade ke nateeje se badal raha hai, to aapka system ab probability par nahi, sequence par chal raha hai.
Ye article sirf educational hai — koi buy ya sell recommendation nahi, koi guaranteed return ka daawa nahi, aur koi advisory nahi. Rules, rates aur mechanics exchange, SEBI aur RBI time-time par badalte hain, isliye har number apne broker ya official source par khud verify karo.