Sabse bada nuksaan aksar sabse acche daur ke turant baad aata hai
Published by The Retail Trader · AUG 09, 2026 · Trading Psychology
Log samajhte hain ki trading ka sabse khatarnak waqt haar ke baad aata hai. Aksar ulta hota hai. Sabse bade nuksaan lagataar jeet ke baad aate hain, kyunki tab hi saavdhani sabse kam hoti hai.
Kuch bhi bahar nahi badalta. Andar teen cheezein badalti hain: size badhti hai, rules dheele hote hain, aur 'ye to obvious hai' wali soch aa jaati hai.
Yahi teen cheezein us ek trade ko banati hain jo poore acche daur ko kha jaati hai.
Chhote sample mein kismat aur skill ek jaise dikhte hain. Paanch jeet ka silsila ek achhe system se bhi aa sakta hai aur ek bekaar system se bhi.
Dikkat ye hai ki dimaag donon ko ek hi tarah padhta hai — jeet ko skill maan leta hai aur haar ko badkismati. Isi ko self-attribution bias kehte hain, aur ye har trader mein hota hai.
Overconfidence ke chetavni ke sanket:
• Aap journal likhna band kar dete ho, kyunki 'sab theek chal raha hai'.
• Size ek hi hafte mein kaafi badh jaati hai, bina kisi likhe hue rule ke.
• Aap wo setups bhi lene lagte ho jo aapke list mein nahi the.
• Stop dheele hone lagte hain, ya 'is baar zaroorat nahi' lagne lagta hai.
• Aap doosron ko trading samjhane lagte ho, jabki aapka apna sample abhi chhota hai.
Size badhni chahiye — par account ke saath, mood ke saath nahi. Agar aap fixed percentage risk par chal rahe ho to size apne aap badh jaati hai jab capital badhti hai. Uske alawa manually badhana chahiye to wo pehle se likha hua rule ho.
Ek aam tarika: size tabhi badhao jab ek tay sankhya mein trades ke baad expectancy positive rahi ho — na ki jab pichli teen trades acchi gayi hon.
Har acche daur ke baad ek bura daur aata hai — ye system ki taasir hai, koi shaap nahi. Jo trader apne acche daur mein hi apne rules kaste hain, unka bura daur chhota hota hai. Baaki logon ka bura daur wahi hota hai jismein acche daur ka poora paisa wapas chala jaata hai.
Ye article sirf educational hai — koi buy ya sell recommendation nahi, koi guaranteed return ka daawa nahi, aur koi advisory nahi. Rules, rates aur mechanics exchange, SEBI aur RBI time-time par badalte hain, isliye har number apne broker ya official source par khud verify karo.