RR aur win rate ka rishta — dono ko saath dekhe bina koi number matlab nahi rakhta
Published by The Retail Trader · AUG 09, 2026 · Features
'Sirf 1:3 risk-reward wali trade lo' — ye salah har jagah milti hai aur akeli lagbhag bekaar hai. Kyunki RR ka koi matlab tab tak nahi hai jab tak uske saath ye na bataya jaaye ki wo trade kitni baar jeetegi.
Risk-reward ratio matlab: jitna khone ka risk le rahe ho, uske muqable kitna kamane ki ummeed hai. Entry 100, stop 95, target 115 — risk 5, reward 15, yaani 1:3.
Ye ek plan ka number hai, nateeje ka nahi. Target par pahunchna zaroori nahi hai, aur yahin se dikkat shuru hoti hai.
Break-even ke liye kitna win rate chahiye:
• 1:1 par — 50% se zyada jeetna hoga.
• 1:2 par — lagbhag 34%.
• 1:3 par — lagbhag 25%.
• 1:5 par — lagbhag 17%.
Iska ulta bhi sach hai: agar aapka system 70% baar jeetta hai, to 1:1 par bhi wo profitable hai. Bahut acche systems chhote RR par chalte hain aur bahut acche systems bade RR par — koi ek 'sahi' number nahi hai.
Target ko door rakhne se RR kaagaz par sundar ho jaata hai. Par door target par pahunchne ki sambhavna kam hoti hai, aur beech mein wapas aakar stop lag jaana zyada hota hai.
Isliye 1:5 wala trader aksar 1:2 wale se kam kamata hai — uska ratio behtar hai par uska hit rate itna gir jaata hai ki hisaab ulta ho jaata hai.
Expectancy = (win rate × average jeet) − (loss rate × average haar). Agar ye positive hai, to system paisa banata hai. Agar negative hai, to koi RR bacha nahi sakta.
Isliye agla kaam ye hai: apne pichle 50 trades par ye hisaab lagao. Zyadatar logon ko yahi pehli baar pata chalta hai ki unka system kya hai — kyunki tab tak wo sirf yaad ke sahaare chal rahe the.
Trade lene se pehle RR likh lo, aur uske baad target ko sirf trailing rule se hilao, umeed se nahi. Jo trader chalte trade mein target badalta hai, uska RR ek record ki tarah bekaar ho jaata hai — aur uske paas apne system ka koi data hi nahi bachta.
Ye article sirf educational hai — koi buy ya sell recommendation nahi, koi guaranteed return ka daawa nahi, aur koi advisory nahi. Rules, rates aur mechanics exchange, SEBI aur RBI time-time par badalte hain, isliye har number apne broker ya official source par khud verify karo.