JANUARY 2026 AUDIT: SAAL KI SHURUAAT KAMZOR
Nifty -3.10% — aur ye historically saal ka sabse kamzor mahina raha hai
Published by The Retail Trader · JAN 30, 2026 · Monthly Audit
January 2026 Nifty ke liye -3.10% raha. Hamare seasonality study ke hisaab se ye koi asaadharan baat nahi hai: pichhle 19 saal mein January ka average -1.27% raha hai aur sirf 26% January hare band hue hain — poore calendar ka sabse kamzor mahina.
INDEX LEVEL
20 sessions:
• Bank Nifty — +0.05%, lagbhag bilkul flat
• Nifty 50 — -3.10%
• Nifty 500 — -3.32%
• Midcap 100 — -3.39%
• Sensex — -3.46%
Bank Nifty ke alawa sab lagbhag ek jaise gire — 3.1% se 3.5% ke beech. Jab sab kuch ek hi range mein girta hai, to wo broad de-rating hota hai, kisi ek sector ki problem nahi.
Nifty ke 20 sessions mein 8 up, 12 down. Mahine ka sabse achha din pehla hi tha — 2 January (+0.70%) — aur wahi din poore 2026 ka peak ban gaya, jahan se abhi tak ki girawat naapi jati hai.
SECTOR LEVEL
Char upar, char neeche:
• Metal — +5.9%
• PSU Bank — +5.7%
• IT — +0.4%
• Bank — 0.0%
• Media — -4.1%
• Pharma — -4.4%
• FMCG — -7.7%
• Realty — -10.8%
FMCG ka -7.7% dhyaan dene layak hai kyunki wo poore dataset ka sabse kam volatile sector hai (annualised volatility 16.5%, Nifty ke barabar). Us sector mein ek mahine mein 7.7% ka move uske apne standard se bada hai.
VOLATILITY
India VIX 9.45 ke low se 14.45 tak gaya, close 13.63. December 2025 mein wo 9.15 tak gaya tha — poore recent record ka sabse shaant level. January se wo shaanti khatam hui, aur March tak VIX 27.89 tak pahunch gaya.
Is article ke saare aankde The Retail Trader ke apne daily index database se compute kiye gaye hain, 24 July 2026 tak. Past performance future ka koi indication nahi hai, aur ye analysis sirf educational hai — koi buy ya sell recommendation nahi.