MARCH 2026 AUDIT: SAAL KA SABSE BURA MAHINA
Nifty -11.31%, Bank Nifty -16.94%, India VIX 27.89 — har sector negative
Published by The Retail Trader · MAR 30, 2026 · Monthly Audit
March 2026 poore dataset ke sabse kharab mahinon mein se ek hai. Har index aur har sector negative band hua — aisa mahina kam aata hai, kyunki aam taur par kuch na kuch bachta hai.
INDEX LEVEL
19 sessions:
• Bank Nifty — -16.94%, sabse zyada gira
• Sensex — -11.49%
• Nifty 500 — -11.39%
• Nifty 50 — -11.31%
• Midcap 100 — -10.94%, sabse kam gira
Bank Nifty ka Nifty se 5.6 point zyada girna hamare Bank Nifty wale analysis se mel khata hai: uska beta 1.18 hai, aur bure dinon mein wo Nifty se zyada girta hai. March mein wo rishta poori tarah dikha.
Nifty ke 19 sessions mein 8 up aur 11 down the. Sabse bura din 19 March (-3.26%), sabse achha 24 March (+1.78%) — yaani trough ke aaspaas hi sabse bada up-day bhi aaya, wahi pattern jo humne 2008 aur 2020 mein dekha tha.
SECTOR LEVEL: SAB LAAL
Aath mein se aath negative:
• Pharma — -3.1%, sabse kam nuksaan
• IT — -5.0%
• Metal — -9.0%
• Media — -10.9%
• FMCG — -11.0%
• Realty — -16.6%
• Bank — -16.9%
• PSU Bank — -19.8%, sabse zyada
Jab har sector ek hi taraf jata hai, to sector selection se koi bachaav nahi hota. Us mahine mein sirf position size aur cash hi kaam aa sakta tha — kaun sa sector chuna, wo nahi.
VOLATILITY: DAR KA PEAK
India VIX mahine ke andar 17.13 se 27.89 tak gaya aur wahin band hua — poore 2026 ka sabse ooncha level. Reference ke liye: December 2025 mein VIX 9.15 ke low tak gaya tha. Teen mahine mein dar teen guna ho gaya.
Hamare VIX study ke hisaab se 25-35 wale regime ke baad Nifty ka average 3-mahine ka return +1.08% raha hai, aur 60% baar positive. April mein +7.46% aaya — us average se kaafi upar, par usi direction mein.
Is article ke saare aankde The Retail Trader ke apne daily index database se compute kiye gaye hain, 24 July 2026 tak. Past performance future ka koi indication nahi hai, aur ye analysis sirf educational hai — koi buy ya sell recommendation nahi.