HAFTE KA KOI ACCHA DIN NAHI HOTA
19 saal ka data: paanch dinon ke beech poora farq ek percent ka paanchwa hissa hai
Published by The Retail Trader · JUL 24, 2026 · Weekly Outlook
'Monday ko market girta hai', 'Friday ko profit book hota hai' — ye baatein har trading group mein milti hain. Humne Nifty ke 4,622 sessions ko weekday ke hisaab se baant kar dekha ki inmein kitna dum hai.
POORA RECORD
Average daily move aur positive-day rate:
• Monday — +0.005%, 54.6% din green (n=925)
• Tuesday — +0.067%, 53.3% green (n=931)
• Wednesday — +0.112%, 54.0% green (n=932)
• Thursday — -0.019%, 51.5% green (n=922)
• Friday — +0.058%, 51.6% green (n=912)
SABSE ACCHE AUR SABSE BURE DIN KA FARQ: 0.13%
Wednesday (+0.112%) aur Thursday (-0.019%) ke beech ka farq 0.131 percentage points hai — per day. Ek round-trip trade ki brokerage, STT aur baaki charges aksar isse zyada hote hain.
Yaani agar aap 'Wednesday kharido, Thursday becho' jaisa koi rule banate ho, to jo edge aap capture karne ki koshish kar rahe ho wo aapke transaction cost se chhota hai. Ye edge exist bhi karta ho, to usse paisa banana possible nahi.
HIT RATE BHI KUCH NAHI KEHTA
Sabse ooncha positive-day rate Monday ka hai (54.6%) aur sabse neecha Friday ka (51.6%). Teen percentage point ka farq, 900+ observations par — ye statistically meaningful hone ke liye kaafi chhota hai, aur practically bekaar hai.
Dhyaan do ki Monday ka average return lagbhag zero (+0.005%) hai jabki uska hit rate sabse ooncha hai. Matlab Monday ko chhoti jeetein zyada hoti hain aur badi haarein bhi. Wo bhi koi tradeable pattern nahi hai.
TO PHIR YE REPORT KIS KAAM KI
Iska kaam ek belief ko hatana hai, naya banana nahi. Har hafte log din ke hisaab se position size ya entry badalte hain; is data ke hisaab se uska koi aadhaar nahi hai.
Jo cheezein is dataset mein actually meaningful nikli hain — mahine ka seasonality (January -1.27% average vs April +3.26%), VIX regime, aur sector rotation — wo sab din ke level se bahut upar hain. Din ke level par sirf shor hai.
Is article ke saare aankde The Retail Trader ke apne daily index database se compute kiye gaye hain, 24 July 2026 tak. Past performance future ka koi indication nahi hai, aur ye analysis sirf educational hai — koi buy ya sell recommendation nahi.