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INFLATION AND THE LONG HORIZON: A SLOW BUT CERTAIN RISK

What happens in thirty years to a plan that relies on fixed income

Published by The Retail Trader · AUG 04, 2026 · Retirement & Insurance

The biggest risk to a retirement plan is not a market crash. It is inflation, because it looks small every year and over three decades changes the entire purchasing power.

HOW THE EFFECT BUILDS

Even a small annual inflation becomes large through compounding. A month's expenses today can be many times as much after twenty or thirty years.

So a fixed payout that looks like plenty today stops being enough in later years — even if that payout never falls.

WHAT WORKS AGAINST IT

These things help against inflation:
• Part of the portfolio in assets that can deliver growth over the long term.
• Flexibility to adjust withdrawals a little every year.
• Health cover, since medical inflation is often faster than general inflation.
• Not moving the entire portfolio into fixed income even after retirement.

A PRACTICAL POINT

The portfolio does not end on retirement day — its job changes that day. If from that day all the money goes into fixed income, the plan escapes one enemy and is left exposed to the other.

This article is for educational purposes only — it is not a buy or sell recommendation, makes no guaranteed-return claim, and is not advisory. Rules, rates and mechanics are changed from time to time by the exchanges, SEBI and RBI, so verify every number yourself with your broker or an official source.

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